Indiana Medicaid Expansion Fiscal Analysis

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This Milliman report, for the Indiana Family and Social Services Administration, projects the cost of certain scenarios for the ACA’s Medicaid expansion. The authors state that Indiana will spend $2 billion of its own money between fiscal years 2014 and 2020 if the state takes the entire expansion. Even without the expansion, Milliman projects that Indiana’s Medicaid spending would jump $611.7 million because of increased enrollment from the individual mandate, referrals from the exchange and a potential decline in employer-sponsored insurance. If Indiana is allowed to expand Medicaid to 100 percent and get the ACA’s match rate, Indiana would still spend $1.7 billion more in that timeframe.

Access the report here.

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Date: Sep 2012